Some Progress

Some progress is expected this week on the state budget stalemate.

Monday the House is expected to approve a $1.5 billion union concession package. Its future is uncertain in the evenly divided Senate.

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Defense Inflection

A CT21 policy brief released this year shows Connecticut is at an inflection point with regard to its defense industry. Demand is increasing, but the state is facing a challenge when it comes to supplying the workforce necessary to deliver the product.

CT21 Senior Fellow Loren Dealy Mahler explains the opportunities presented by the challenge.

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Parole Reform

In case you missed it, the PBS documentary series Frontline, featured a one hour report on Connecticut's efforts to reform its parole system.

The reforms, pushed by Governor Malloy, have been generally supported by CT21 on policy and economic grounds.

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Time Running Out - Again

With less than two weeks to go to the end of the month, Governor Malloy and the legislature are stuck in terms of reaching a budget agreement.

Results of a rank and file vote on union concessions is expected Tuesday. Union acceptance of a Malloy negotiated concessions agreement is a key to any final budget deal. Republicans are asking for more detail on the agreement even as they call for a fundamentally new approach to labor relations.

Governor Malloy is urging lawmakers to adopt a mini-budget, to cover a few weeks, if they can't come to agreement on a full budget. Malloy says without legislative guidance he is forced to administer state spending on his own, which inevitably leads to undesireable and potentially damaging spending cuts.

Defense Hiring

As CT21 pointed out in its most recent policy brief, Connecticut is facing a boom in the defense industry. As a result, there is a growing demand for skilled workers in the field.

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Mental Health Providers

Providers of mental health care in Connecticut are concerned that Medicaid cuts at the federal level and a growing budget crisis at the state level will combine to seriously reduce access to mental health services.

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Budget Update

With no deal in sight, legislative leaders say they will not vote on a new two-year budget on July 18 as previously planned.

In the meantime, Republicans are making a pitch to change the way state employee union contracts are negotiated in the future. In short, they want a completely new set of rules to take effect in 2022.

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Budget Gridlock Continues

There is still no sign of an agreement on a new state budget two weeks after the end of the last fiscal year.

Republicans offered their own version of a spending plan Tuesday and asked for a vote. One way to break a budget impasse is for legislative leadership to force votes on various budget plans until all sides begin to see where to compromise.

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Still Recovering

A new report says Connecticut is one of five states that still has not fully recovered from the recession that began in late 2008.

The news backs up an argument Governor Malloy has been making since last year as he tries to convince lawmakers the old rules can no longer apply to the state budget process.

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New Budget Process

In an article published in Hearst Connecticut newspapers, Robert Santy of Connecticut Economic Resource Center, Inc., says Connecticut needs to adopt a new budgeting process. Santy says the current approach obviously is not working and he argues that we should begin by setting priorities based on existing revenue.

Priority based budgeting is a concept CT21 has supported throughout its history.

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Providers Offer Cost Savings

Connecticut is among just a few states with no budget in place for the current fiscal year and there is little sign of movement toward agreement.

Meanwhile, providers of social services funded by the state are concerned about their clients and concerned that lawmakers continue to ignore their ideas for cost savings.

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Medicaid Costs Down

A new study finds Connecticut's Medicaid costs per patient have been dropping, but Medicare spending is up in our state.

The news comes as governors from across the country fight to maintain current Medicaid spending levels as Republicans in Congress seek to reform the national healthcare law.

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Aetna Sends Message

Aetna confirmed Thursday that it is moving its corporate headquarters to New York City and provided the exact address. The move was not unexpected and had been telegraphed weeks ago.

The company said its continued presence in Hartford will depend a lot on the state of the Connecticut economy and whether the legislature can produce something that looks like a sustainable path forward. Coming less than two years after the decision by General Electric to relocate its headquarters to Boston, the Aetna move is an undeniable signal from the state's business community that state government needs to change its approach.

Aetna also revealed details of economic incentives it received from the city and the state of New York, further confirming that bidding for jobs is a multi-state contest.

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Meanwhile, the state heads into the holiday weekend - and more importantly - the new fiscal year without a budget in place.

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All or Nothing?

The legislature will not vote on a new state budget this week, meaning Connecticut will roll into the new fiscal year on Saturday with no budget in place for the next two years.

There has been talk of a mini-budget that would cover 90 days, but the House Speaker is against the idea, apparently believing extending the deadline will only delay hard decisions.

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New Revenues

Some insiders are suggesting this year's special legislative session on the budget could extend past Labor Day.

All sides appear to be far apart. Governor Malloy is attempting to lead by pushing forward with his own budget plans absent one approved by the full legislature.

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Big Week

In Hartford and Washington major decisions are being made this week with the potential to dramatically impact Connecticut over the long term.

Beginning today(Monday) lawmakers in Hartford begin a final effort to assemble a two-year budget package with the hope of voting on it by the end of the week. Negotiations are taking place against a backdrop of a budget shortfall of as much as $5 billion. There is a reluctance to raise taxes and a reluctance to do anything that may be perceived as hurting the state's business climate, but there is also a realization that cutting the budget by $5 billion, over two years, is politically difficult. As is often the case, the most vulnerable citizens in the state face the biggest risk as decisions are being made.

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Meanwhile, in Washington, D.C., the Senate is trying to vote before the July 4th recess on healthcare reform. The outcome of the debate could affect nearly every Connecticut resident on a personal level, but it may also have a strong affect on the state's economy which still includes thousands of insurance industry related jobs.

Manufacturing Improvements

Connecticut is facing a boom in defense manufacturing in the coming years, but a recent CT21 policy brief shows the state needs to do more to make sure the workforce can meet the expected need.

A new study shows some signs of improvement in the readiness of Connecticut's manufacturing workforce.

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Budget Principles

Governor Malloy and legislative leaders have agreed to try to come to terms on a budget agreement by June 29th. Legislative caucuses will meet today(Thursday) in an effort to build consensus. Another meeting between lawmakers and the governor is scheduled for Monday. The schedule essentially leaves four days between the next meeting of top state leaders and a possible budget vote.

The timetable seems impossible to meet, and with that as background, Governor Malloy took the step Wednesday to release the principles under which he will operate the - without a budget - if the legislature fails to act by June 30.

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Malloy says he will release details of his emergency budget sometime next week, before June 30th, so that everyone knows how he will run the state in the absence of a legislatively approved fiscal plan.

Pressure for Taxes Builds

With budget negotiations between the governor and legislative leaders moving slowly, various interest groups are using the open field to advocate for tax increases to fund popular programs at current levels.

Cities and towns, social service providers, and transportation advocates have pushed, since the end of the regular session, for increased sales taxes and the consideration of tolls to fund highway improvements. While Democrats are refusing to take tax increases off the table, Republicans are taking a hard line against new taxes and Governor Malloy says he views new taxes as a last resort.

The cry for higher taxes to avoid spending cuts underlines the difficulty lawmakers have in breaking budget tradition even in the face of lagging economic indicators.

Non-Profits Make Case

Connecticut non-profit social service providers are once again making the case that the state can reduce costs and improve results by placing a greater reliance on the private provider community. Once again, they face resistance from a legislature struggling to balance the budget.

Previous CT21 studies, and other policy reviews, have consistently concluded greater use of community based social services yield better results at lower cost.

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Bad Options

Keith Phaneuf of the Connecticut Mirror, a recognized expert on the Connecticut state budget, has a bleak preview of what to expect if lawmakers are unable to come to agreement on a budget by June 30th.

Most political observers put the odds of an agreement by the end of the month at less than 50-50.

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Regionalization

In the search for cost savings at the state and local level more observers of Connecticut government are calling for regionalization.

This is an approach long supported by CT21 research.

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Independent Living - Strong Choice

Previous CT21 research concludes the state of Connecticut can improve outcomes and reduce costs by investing more in independent living settings. These programs follow an approach to social services that emphasize government money "following the person" rather than blindly funding traditional programs that may not produce the best results in all cases.

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The Budget Is Next

Now the hard part.

The 2017 regular session of the legislature has adjourned, but now lawmakers are heading into a special session, that might be described as an emergency session, to come to terms with a budget that is as much as $5 billion out of balance. Based on a Senate debate Wednesday night, it appears Republicans are seeking to make dramatic changes in state government's traditional relationship with state employee labor unions.

If that is the case, it could extend the budget debate beyond the current deadline of June 30th.

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